Have the social explosions started?
As the weeks go the Ayotzinapa massacre [1] complicates the life of the federal government.
In the early days it was said that it was ordered by the Iguala mayor (Jose Luis Abarca) who, allied with the organized crime – specifically the group known as Guerreros Unidos – commanded the city police to crack down and kidnap a group of students as revenge since they were supporting an opposing cartel. That means the motive, according to this fantasy, would be revenge.
But slowly the idea that this is a kind of genocide grew, compared to one which took place on June 10, 1971. At that time the State did not take responsibility, but this was a message about the methods it was willing to use against dissidents.
However, the masses response seems to be exceeding the State expectations. Since October 2nd the students began to strike throughout the country. On October 6th, a strike paralyzed eight States. On the following day, the protests reached Oaxaca, Chiapas and Guerrero [2]. In the subsequent days the protests spread towards north States such as Baja California, Chihuahua and Zacatecas [3]. The most important action so far was the student strike on October 15th and 16th which covered 40 universities in several states and there are expectations that a second strike on October 22nd and 23rd encompasses more States and schools. If confirmed, we will be facing the largest student strike since 1968, and it’s not yet clear how far it will go – unless there is a satisfactory response from the government.
Thus, we can work with some assumptions: if the masses which are mobilized begin to perceive that the mastermind is Peña Nieto [4], the indignation might increase and corner the government. This is possible because this allusion has been made at every rally or demonstration. In other words, we would be at the threshold of a serious political crisis which is fueled with the worsening economic crisis (now exposed by the low economic growth that makes the country shakes dangerously on the brink of a zero growth index, aided by the strong peso devaluation in the past few weeks and by the international fall of oil prices).
Another possibility is finding some lackeys who could incriminate themselves and present a credible version about the motives that led to the massacre. Anyway, part of the population will not easily believe in the story. Following this line of thought, perhaps the former mayor of Iguala will never be found alive (because probably he has beenexecuted together with his wife) or maybe they have died as a result of a “confrontation” with the federal forces. He knows too much to stay alive.
The root causes of the dirty war
The overall situation in the country is deteriorating with no possibility of improvement. As a result, most of the population will continue their fatal march into misery, promiscuity, overcrowding, ignorance, poor health conditions and violence. For these reasons, the state needs to “tighten” its instruments of “crowd control” over the increasingly desperate, forgotten and impoverished people. And the social outburst is the response to a dictatorship that sees only the violence as the “solution.” Guerrero is an example of what can happen in other States in the future (probably the state of Mexico is the next one or one of the next due to the worsening degree of social conditions).
Tlatlaya and Iguala [5] are two examples of states that have been trained to kill as the only solution. They are examples of social cleansing carried out by the system and which can only be stopped by the masses.
This policy is part of the counter-insurgency that imperialism has been orchestrating since 1971, when Richard Nixon ruled, to whom many said he was wrong because he overreacted to the possibility of masses insurrections in the face of changes in the world economy which have become clear that would bring with them more poverty and danger to systems and life worldwide.
Noam Chomsky says that the failed consequences of the anti-drug war were “intentional” with a different purpose that that stated: “it served to control and cancel out the regional efforts of rural communities and benefit the powerful interests of large agricultural enterprises and the financial and banking sector that are benefited from the market established by drug dealers.”(Chomsky, La Jornada 5/13/12). As from this statement we can understand what the self-defense guards meant, which, when fighting against the organized crime gangs, are also fighting against big business interests, and therefore it turned urgent their elimination or cooptation.
Following this line of reasoning, we must take into account that since 2002, when Vicente Fox ruled, the Armed Forces have been subordinated to the Pentagon’s Northern Command, and therefore any military, semi-military or paramilitary strategies was determined by the U.S. In Ayotzinapa no mayor, even one from the PRD (Party of the Democratic Revolution), could achieve such authority to the point of murdering 50 students. Not even the state Governor, Angel Aguirre Rivera (who does not want to resign, because he refuses to risk his neck, and is therefore defended by PRD). But Aguirre Rivera could be the ‘stupid useful’ because, besides having low intelligence, he is an enthusiast for holding the power as well as feels pleased with the idea that the others’ lives depend on him. No other combination would be better for charging him of the murders.
So far, the dirty war includesa hundred thousand deaths, 30,000 disappeared, massacre in Tlatlaya and Ayotzinapa, extrajudicial executions, paramilitary massacres, torture, harassment of human rights activists and political opponents, electoral fraud, systematic crackdown on resistance movements, etc…
What to do?
The demonstrations have spread throughout the country, international protests increase on a daily basis and we are on the threshold of more and larger social explosions. If the trend grows, it is likely that we can overthrow this counter-insurgency (which is also required by imperialism in order to launch a massive investment in the extractive industries sector) plan carried out by the state.
Therefore, we must continue preparing the campaign and call the students national strike and a National Assembly of workers, peasants, indigenous peoples, students and grassroots movements which can approve a struggle plan to fight the State, its hunger plans and its submission to imperialism.
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[1] 6 dead and 43 missing students of the Rural Raúl Isidro Burgos Teachers College of Ayotzinapa in Tixtla, State of Guerrero.
[2] Oaxaca, Chiapas and Guerrero – Southwestern states of Mexico, known as the United Mexican States.
[3] Baja California, Chihuahua and Zacatecas – Northern States of Mexico, with large wine production.
[4] Enrique Peña Nieto – President of Mexico since December 01 2012 and member of the PRI (Institutional Revolutionary Party).
[5] The execution by shooting of 22 people in Tlatlaya, State of Mexico and the murder of 46 rural students in Iguala, Guerrero State.
